Panel on "The Future of Portable Communication" - Research, Technology, and Teamwork blog by Susie Wee -
Panel on "The Future of Portable Communication"
On Tuesday night I was in a panel discussion on "What’s In Your Pocket? The Future of Portable Communication" as part of the MIT Club of Northern California Entrepreneurship series (which is open to the public). It attracted a full house with only a week of advertising and an entry fee, so apparently there is a decent bit of interest in the topic, in the food, and in entrepreneurial networking.

Moderator
Panelists
Julie did a great job leading the discussion and she kickstarted with some piercing questions to make the panelists "get real" from the start. She sprinkled in some very interesting statistics on the consumer usage of mobile applications in the U.S. Unfortunately, these stats bring us to the sobering reality that mobile services are going to be slow to take off in the U.S. market.

Here are a few of the main points I captured:

Jory showed OQO's cool new device, the model 02. He stressed the importance of great design, stating that today's devices "suck". He also waved a flag for moving the industry towards fully capable devices and open platform architectures.

Jason discussed the importance of developing applications (such as games) that are specifically targetted for mobile devices, rather than retrofitting today's existing applications. He also argued that people don't want to walk around talking with a small computer on the side of their head, favoring a cell phone form factor. Jason also pointed out that most people don't even know what features and capabilities their phones have today.

Michael described NVIDIA's newest multimedia (audio/video/graphics) chipsets that are being integrated in portables (think low-power GPUs)- future devices are going to be a lot more capable. He also stressed the importance of giving people a great user experience.

David discussed the trends in wireless, questioning the viability of Mobile WiMAX deployments in the face of a nearly ubiquitous Wi-Fi install base. David expands on this in his own blog post. He also expressed that the enterprise segment will be important in driving forward the mobile market.

I talked about how we need to get the ecosystem of content providers, service providers, network operators, and device manufacturers to work together, so we should move towards open platforms with more capabilities and open APIs- where the platform includes devices and infrastructure. I also tried to stress the importance of looking globally to see what works in other countries. And, I mentioned that in the future more and more sensors will be integrated in mobile devices, so applications should be developed accordingly. I also mentioned a few cool HP Labs projects.

Julie kept us real as she kept reminding us about what most of today's US consumers really want- free phones and cheap minutes. And, since operators need to subsidize free phones and cheap minutes for the majority, it will be tough for them to offer innovative new services for a small percentage of the population.

Some of the controversial issues:
  • Is it true that people only want free phones and cheap minutes? If so, is the "user experience" really all that important?
  • Do people in the U.S. really want new features or services? If so, what new application or service do people want? There was some agreement that social networking services like MySpace and Facebook could be very relevant here.
  • Will the mobile market be driven from consumers or enterprise customers?
  • What role does the network operator play in the future? Should they be allowed to differentiate service levels (the old net neutrality debate)?
For all readers:
  • What are your thoughts?
  • Do you have any questions?
For those who attended the event:
  • What did you think the main points were?
  • What were your takeaways?
  • What did you think about the event?
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Posted 03-22-2007 7:39 PM by susie.wee
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Comments

mediaelf wrote Re: Panel on "The Future of Portable Communi
on 03-26-2007 3:27 AM
That is an interesting set of topics which the panelists discussed. I'm surprised that multimedia services did not get more airtime. For example, social networking applications and the ability to upload user-generated content (similar to YouTube) would appear to be things which the young crowd of cellphone users would use, and which the telcos would also like because of the increased use of data services.
Susie Wee wrote Re: Panel on "The Future of Portable Communi
on 03-29-2007 6:15 AM
mediaelf- You are absolutely correct. We should have given multimedia services and social networking services a lot more airtime, since I believe both will be critical drivers for the portable communications industry moving forward. I think this is the most important topic that we missed in the panel discussion.

We did get to discuss context-aware applications using sensors that will be provided by the devices (motion sensors, GPS) and by the infrastructure (presence servers, home location registries/position determination entities, group list management servers). I think there is a lot of future in context-aware applications and services that leverage sensors in the device and in the infrastructure.

Thanks for your comment!

sqchen wrote Re: Panel on "The Future of Portable Communi
on 07-03-2007 7:07 PM
An interesting topic to discuss in the panel and a topic I am very much interested in. Seemed different people addressed the problem from different aspects -- each of which is important itself -- but/so what is the future?

Developing new stuff (application, software, hardware) and improving existing stuff have been the case for portable communications, as for many other things. Applications attract new customers or customers demand drives new technology? I guess it is a chicken and egg like problem.

Orthogonal to or over the above trends, it seems that specialization and generalization on the portable devices and communications are on the way. Specialization like surveillance monitoring, GPS, heartbeat sensing, etc. Generalization like making a PDA as capable as a desktop computer (much like the desktop today is as powerful as the mainframe 20 years ago).

So what is the most important job for us out there? Isn't that integration?

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